Conservative Andy Street narrowly won the first West Midlands mayoral election in 2017. This was something of a surprise result in this area where Labour have done very well in the past few decades. This election would prove to not be a one off incident as in the 2019 General Election, Labour lost 6 seats to the Conservatives, matching Labour's seat count and vote share in the county.

This seat is Labour's top target for the mayoral races and they certainly have a chance here in what has become a very closely contested area. However with huge swings towards the Conservatives in most local authorities here, they're slightly favoured to hold this seat at the moment.

The position of Mayor of West Yorkshire was only established last year, making this election the first one for that position. While the Conservatives did make a few gains here at the last General Election, Labour is the dominant party in West Yorkshire, especially so in Leeds and Bradford. They also control every constituent metropolitan borough. Labour are thus widely expected to win this race. Labour have nominated Tracy Brabin as their candidate, MP for Batley and Spen.

The Conservatives won this inaugural election in 2017 on perhaps a smaller majority than was expected in this part of the country, only getting 27.3% of the first preference vote. The very liberal-left city of Bristol forms roughly half of the electorate for this combined authority, making both Labour and the Liberal Democrats competative in this race. The Liberal Democrats are also helped by a strong vote in Bath and North East Somerset, where they have since gained a seat at Westminster.

This is a race that is expected to be competative, especially with the in incumbent Conservative mayor, Tim Bowles, not running for re-election. Just 2% seperated Labour and the Liberal Democrats here in 2017 so either of them could likely advance to the runoff. In the 2019 General Election, the seat of Bath had the second highest Lib Dem vote share in the country. However, they also aren't doing as well in Bristol as they used to - although they may be somewhat helped by running former Bristol South MP, Stephen Williams, as their candidate, as they did last time. This is also one of the strongest areas in the country for the Green Party, and any sign of their success will likely be seen most here.

The inagural election for the Mayor of Cambridgeshire and Peterborough, rather unsurprisingly, was won by the Conservative James Palmer. Conservatives hold 6 of the 7 Westminster seats here, they have control of Camgridgeshire County Council as well as 4 of the 6 local authorities.

The Liberal Democrats came second here in 2017 and with good results here in 2019, it's likely they will head to the runoff against the Palmer instead of Labour. However, with national polls showing that Liberal Democrat support is down, it's unlikely that they will be able to beat the Conservatives here.

Conservative Ben Houchen winning the first Tees Valley mayoral in 2017 was considered a serious upset in this traditionally Labour area. Prior to the 2017 General Election, Labour held 26 of the 29 seats in the North East of England. They now hold just 19, with losses particularly concentrated around Tees Valley with some of the largest swings to the Conservatives in the 2019 General Election.

This is an area that is fast becoming more Conservative, despite its Labour history. Houchen won this race very narrowly in 2017, but it is likely the Conservatives will win it with a larger majority this time.